The Brilliant Mr. Pedro

The Brilliant Mr. Pedro

The Short Squeeze Isn't the Signal. Don't Confuse the Two.

Crypto Myth of the Week | Market Pulse Special | February 26, 2026 | ๐Ÿ”’ Paid

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Pedro
Feb 26, 2026
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Let me tell you what happened yesterday โ€” and what didnโ€™t.

Bitcoin was sitting at $63,000 on Monday morning. Extreme fear. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been pinned near 10 for most of February โ€” a reading that low hadnโ€™t been seen since the depths of the 2022 bear market. Traders who had bought Bitcoin at $90,000, $100,000, and $110,000 were sitting on losses. ETF outflows had been running for weeks. Sentiment was as bad as itโ€™s been in years.

In that environment, something predictable happened: traders piled into short positions. When everyone is scared, the crowded trade is the bearish bet. Short sellers were paying longs to maintain positions โ€” whatโ€™s called negative funding rates โ€” which is a textbook signal that bearish positioning had become dangerously crowded.

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